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Mortgage Rates on FIRE! Home Prices Up in Smoke?

Mortgage interest rates have already risen by over a quarter of a percentage point in 2018. Many are projecting that rates could increase to 5% by the end of the year.

What impact will rising rates have on house values?

Many quickly jump to the conclusion that an increase in mortgage rates will have a detrimental impact on real estate prices as fewer buyers will be able to qualify for a loan. This seems logical; if there is less demand for housing then prices will drop.

However, in a good economy, rising mortgage rates increase demand as many prospective purchasers immediately jump off the fence to guarantee they get the lower rate.

Let’s look at home prices the last four times mortgage rates increased dramatically.

Mortgage Rates on FIRE! Home Prices Up in Smoke? | MyKCM

In each case, home prices APPRECIATED and did not depreciate. No one is projecting as dramatic an increase in rates as the examples above. Most are projecting an increase of approximately 1% by the end of the year.

The last time mortgage rates increased by 1% over a twelve-month period was January 2013 (3.41%) to January 2014 (4.43%). What happened to house prices during that span? They appreciated by 9.8%.

Just two weeks ago, Rick Palacios Jr., Director of Research at John Burns Real Estate Consulting explained:

“Mortgage rates have risen 1% or more ten times in the last 43 years, with little impact on home sales and prices when the economy was also strong…Historically, rising confidence, solid job growth, and higher wages have more than offset reduced demand for housing resulting from higher mortgage rates.”

Bottom Line

When mortgage rates increase, history has shown that prices appreciate (and do not depreciate) during that same time span.

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About Area

The ancient mountains, rolling hills, and pristine creeks and rivers of the North Georgia mountains have a way of calling you out into the wild, no matter the season. And the majestic mountain setting that makes the outdoors so fun and inviting also provides some of the most amazing backdrops for a home as well. Many natives to the area have perfected the art of “porch swing sitting” and will be happy to share their notes with those who need to relax a bit. With so many homes having views of nothing but the majesty of nature in many different forms, it’s no wonder the art of sitting quietly to unwind is widespread. It’s also widely understood and ensured that these mountains will remain pristine for many generations to come. The Chattahoochee National Forest makes up a large majority of land in the region, and therefore it will remain virtually unchanged and undeveloped by people for many, many years to come. The bounties of the land and celebration of mountain heritage are favorite themes for the many festivals held throughout the area and throughout the year. Local farmers, mountain artisans and entertainers have a huge, artistic and loving stage on which to showcase their talents. People from all over the world and from all walks of life come to enjoy the good food and good times of these southern Appalachian festivals. The incredible display of Mother Nature in these mountains is definitely a great reason to find a home here, add to that the never ending events and abundance of talented and lovely people and there’s really no reason not to.

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